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July 04, 2008

Is Anybody There?

In honor of our nation’s 232nd birthday, let me quote the lyrics from "Is Anybody There," a song sung by John Adams at the end of the musical "1776". The Declaration has been approved, and John is waiting for it to be signed the next day:

"Is anybody there?
Does anybody care?
Does anybody see what I see?

They want to me to quit; they say
John, give up the fight
Still to England I say
Good night, forever, good night!
For I have crossed the Rubicon
Let the bridge be burned behind me
Come what may, come what may

Commitment!

The croakers all say we'll rue the day
There'll be hell to pay in fiery purgatory
Through all the gloom, through all the gloom
I see the rays of ravishing light and glory!

Is anybody there? Does anybody care?
Does anybody see what I see?
I see fireworks! I see the pageant and
Pomp and parade
I hear the bells ringing out
I hear the cannons roar
I see Americans - all Americans
Free forever more

How quiet, how quiet the chamber is
How silent, how silent the chamber is

Is anybody there? Does anybody care?
Does anybody see what I see?"

July 03, 2008

The Good Guys Win One

As we prepare to celebrate the Fourth of July tomorrow, let us celebrate a real feel good story with the people of Colombia today. The Colombian military has freed fifteen hostages held for upwards of six years by the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, or FARC. FARC started out as a Marxist guerilla group in the 1960s. Now it is mostly just a bunch of criminal thugs, running drugs, kidnapping people to collect ransom, etc. The fifteen people who were freed included three Americans and former Colombian Presidential candidate Ingrid Betancourt. FARC had been using the hostages, especially Betancourt, to try to get publicity, money and recognition. The freeing of these hostages, of these innocent people, is a significant defeat for FARC and a victory for the Colombian people.

For a report on how the hostages were freed, see here.

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Update (7/3/08 1:05 p.m.):  As you read the link about the rescue of the hostages, keep in mind that this is the country the Democrats in Congress will not approve a free trade agreement with because ...  Well, they actually haven't given a good reason, other than the AFL-CiO doesn't like free trade agreements and that seems to be what counts for Democrats on Capitol Hill. 

June 28, 2008

Is 2008 a New Course or Just a Detour?

(The following is a broad brush and generalized treatment of a topic that deserves a long article or even a book, but I do not have the time or expertise to do either. In any case, I think there is at least a germ of truth in what I say, and I have wanted to write it for a while. So here it is.)

In March of 2007, I said that I thought the Republicans would lose in November of 2008. While John McCain is by far the best candidate the Republicans could have chosen to run for President this year, I still think the state of the economy, the fact that only once in the last 60 years has one party held the White House for more than eight years, and the tiredness of so many of the American people with George W. Bush will mean that Senator Obama will win in November – unless he loses it, either by what he says or what comes out about him that we do not know yet. And in any case, the Republicans are going to suffer losses in Congressional races.

So how does a conservative feel about this prospect? As I get older and learn more, it seems to me that there is a time and a flow to history and to politics that one cannot stop or reverse. The time after World War II was a time of government. In some places it was socialism. In others it was a matter of more government action and intervention in a free market economy.

The 1970s brought a world-wide stagnation that led, in the 1980s, to a shift to less government intervention and more free market solutions. From Keynes (perhaps a slightly misunderstood Keynes) in the 1960s, we went to Friedman in the 1980s. From regulation we went to deregulation. From government running things we went to privatization. From the high taxes of the 1950s and 1960s, we went to the Laffer curve and tax cuts in the 1980s.

Thatcher and Reagan led this shift in the UK and the US, but it was not just Tories and Republicans. Deregulation of things like the airlines and the trucking industry in the US actually began under Jimmy Carter. In France, Francois Mitterrand tried old style socialism and government intervention when he was elected in 1981, but it failed and he had to reverse course.

The deregulation and reform movements in places like Australia and New Zealand were lead by Labor (Australia)/Labour (New Zealand) parties. Among the most radical free market reforms were those in New Zealand, reforms that were implemented by a Labour government that followed a "conservative" National Party government that had given New Zealand one of the most controlled economies outside the Soviet Bloc.

In other words, there was a world-wide shift in politics and policies, which affected all countries and parties.

And now, are we seeing the beginning of a trend back the other way? Is the upcoming Democratic victory the sign of a new trend in the United States? Or is it just a short-term reaction to the Bush Presidency and the failures of recent Republican Congresses?

We cannot know at this point. And so we have to fight for our principles. If it is just a short-term thing, we need to fight to get through this period as quickly as possible. And if it is the start of a new trend, then we have to work to keep the flame of small government and free market economics alive for the time when the trend shifts yet again, and we have to work on the edges to limit the extremes of the shift.

June 22, 2008

Obama Sides With the Lefties

After months and years of controversy over the right of the President to order warrantless eavesdropping of U.S. citizens in certain limited situations, on Friday the House of Representatives passed a compromise bill updating the 1978 Foreign Security Surveillance Act. According to The Washington Post (here and here):

"[T]he bill makes clear that all intelligence surveillance is governed by FISA. The legislation mandates that the administration obtain a court-approved, individual warrant for any spying activity directed at a U.S. citizen – whether that citizen is on U.S. soil or abroad – and that the administration prove it has ‘probable cause’ to believe that the person is engaged in espionage. The procedures used for surveillance of non-U.S. citizens on foreign soil must be approved by the FISA court and reviewed annually."

Importantly, the bill provides immunity to telecommunications companies such as AT&T and Verizon for the help they gave the government after 9/11. According to the bill, the suits will be dismissed as long as the companies "can show the court ‘substantial evidence’ they received a written request from the attorney general or head of an intelligence agency stating the president had authorized the surveillance and determined it to be lawful". (The Wall Street Journal, June 20, 2008)

Democratic opposition to the bill (of the 129 votes against the bill, 128 were by Democrats; i.e., over half of the Democrats in the House voted against the bill) raised the question of what Senator Obama would do. Friday afternoon he announced that he would support the bill in the Senate – with one big exception: "It [the bill] does, however, grant retroactive immunity [to the telecoms], and I will work in the Senate to remove this provision so that we can seek full accountability for past offenses."

So, like the lefties I talked about here, the presumptive Democratic nominee wants to let people sue phone companies for doing what the President asked them to do at a time of national emergency. That is just wrong. If Senator Obama really thinks there were offenses committed back then for which people need to be held accountable, then instead of going after the phone companies, who were just doing what the President asked them to do, he ought to go after the person who asked them to do it

Also, if Senator Obama gets elected President, he better hope, if we have some problem in the future and he has to ask for help, that the people he asks won’t remember what he wanted to do to people who did what the government asked when his predecessor was President.

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Update [6/23/08 11:00 a.m.]: I probably overstated things with my headline on this post.  I really feel that Obama's continuing position against immunity for the telecoms is appalling for the reasons I have stated before.  And he is continuing to side with the lefties on this point.  However, it appears that many lefties are really upset with Obama for agreeing to support the rest of the bill.  For an example, see here.  

You Can't Fool Mother Nature and You Can't Beat the Big Muddy

There was an interesting point in last Friday’s Chicago Tribune about the flooding and water levels along the Mississippi River:

"After days of flooding, the Mississippi showed significant signs of losing steam Thursday. That's because in recent days the river hit record levels as it fanned out for miles around when it overran levees.

For urban areas in and around Quincy, the breached levees [upstream] were a blessing. Most of the land submerged along the river is farmland."

In other words, the fact some levees upstream broke, and some of the water was able to spread out over, i.e., flood, land around the river banks, means that the river will not be as high or as dangerous when it gets downstream.

Which means that the levees everybody builds to keep the water from flooding, raise the water levels, which mean the levees have to be built higher which pushes the water levels higher which mean the levees have to be higher and so on and so on.

I think there may be a lesson here.

June 18, 2008

The Sound of a Country Dying

What is the sound of a country dying? I ask because a country is dying in southern Africa. The country is Zimbabwe. In the midst of inflation of a million percent a year, an HIV/AIDS epidemic, a decline in life expectancy into the 30s and more, Zimbabwe had an election on March 29. Robert Mugabe, its dictator, could not stop the opposition from winning a majority of the seats in the parliament. He was, however, able to make sure, when the results for President were finally announced on May 2, over a month after the election, that his chief opponent, Morgan Tsvangirai, did not get a majority of the vote. That means there has to be a run-off. Zimbabwe law requires that a run-off be held within 21 days after the results are released, but apparently that was not enough time for the Mugabe forces to get their "campaigning" done, so the election was set for June 27.

And the campaigning has started. Of course, for Mugabe’s party, campaigning means detaining the opposition candidate when he returned to the country. It means arresting the number two leader of the opposition and threatening to charge him with treason, a capital offense. Campaigning means ordering all non-governmental humanitarian groups to suspend their operations, forcing them to stop providing food to people who may starve without it. Only the government will distribute food, and I think we can guess who they will give it to.

And what has the world done in response to this man-made disaster? It has done pretty much the same thing it has been doing for years as Mugabe ruined what was once a fairly prosperous country with hope for the future. As Mugabe has turned Zimbabwe into an economic basket case and a terrible dictatorship, the world has done what it does best: Not much.

The European Union adopted a resolution prohibiting Mugabe from traveling to any EU member country. But when the United Nations held a big conference on the world food crisis in Rome earlier this year, Italy let Mugabe attend. Italy wouldn’t stop Mugabe from coming, apparently because they didn’t want to insult the United Nations. And the United Nations wouldn’t stop Mugabe from attending because it has no standards.

The United Nations would, I suppose, use the same excuse that they did for failing to take action that might have prevented the genocide in Rwanda in 1994: We can’t interfere; we would harm our reputation for even-handedness and neutrality; we have to maintain our influence for the future.

The unfortunate truth is that, for most countries, there is not much they can do now. There have been attempts to try to isolate Mr. Mugabe, but like the EU ban which did not stop Mugabe from going to the UN conference in Rome, they have not accomplished much, mostly because some counties deliberately ignore them and others just don’t care enough to inconvenience themselves even a little.

Some say that there are other despots in Africa, so why single out Mugabe? (Well, you have to start somewhere.) Others say that if we don’t do business with Mugabe, the Chinese or others will. (We’re talking Zimbabwe here, not the entire African continent. Are your principles really for sale that cheap?)

There is, however, one country which might be able to do something, even now. Unfortunately, it doesn’t appear to want to. When Nelson Mandela emerged from 27 years of imprisonment and then became President of South Africa four years later, he gave South Africa a physical voice in Africa and a moral voice in the world. But Nelson Mandela is old, and his successors do not have his stature – or seem to want it.

If South Africa said something, if it took a stand against the horror of what is going on in Zimbabwe, it is probable Mugabe would give up or could be beaten in the June 27 election. But South Africa has abandoned the cloak of Mandela‘s authority and is doing nothing. And so, on June 27, Robert Mugabe will almost certainly be re-elected President of Zimbabwe, and Zimbabwe will continue to die.

What is the sound of a country dying? It is the sound of indifference, the sound of a world unwilling to sacrifice for principle, the sound of a world that cannot be bothered with caring.

June 15, 2008

Guantánamo Bay: A Decision for the Courts?

Let me make three comments on the Supreme Court decision last week in Boumediene v. Bush, in which the Supreme Court held that foreigners held in the detention camp at the Guantánamo Bay naval base had the right, under the U.S. Constitution, to file writs of habeas corpus challenging their confinement.

First, many of the media reports focused on the decision being a defeat for President Bush so much that it was easy to miss the fact that what was at issue here was not an executive order issued by Bush but two laws passed by Congress, the Detainee Treatment Act of 2005 and the Military Commissions Act of 2006. It wasn’t just some order of President Bush that the Court was invalidating; it was a law passed by Congress.

Second, the question of how we should deal with the people being held at Guantánamo is not an easy one to answer. It was, for example, pretty simple to know what to do with enemy soldiers during World War II. You captured them, and you held them until the war was over. For some soldiers in Europe, captured in 1940, that meant being held five years. But there was an end to that war. Some people have called our fight with Islamic totalitarianism "the long war." Who knows how long it will last. And how will we know when it is over? Is it fair to detain people indefinitely? While it might seem easy to answer no to that question, what about the person released from Guantánamo who apparently became a suicide bomber in Iraq? Where was the fairness for the people he killed?

Another question is how do we know all of these people are really terrorists or enemy combatants? It was easy to tell who the enemy soldiers were during World War II. Everybody wore uniforms, and the uniforms were different. The chances of mistaken identity were not very high. But is that true at Guantánamo? It would be one thing if we knew all of the detainees really were terrorists. But given the way some of them were taken into custody, there could be cases of mistaken identity. Some of them really could be farmers who just got caught by mistake.

In a war without end and in a fight where it is hard to tell who the enemy really is, should these people be treated like POWs or just regular criminals? How long can we detain them? Are they terrorists or innocent farmers rounded up by mistake? As I said, these are tough questions. The answers are not black and white. There will be shades of gray. There will need to be some delicate balancing of different interests. Which brings me to my third point.

Is a U.S. federal district court the best place to decide who these people are and what we should do with them? Are the kinds of questions I mentioned above best answered by the kind of adversarial system that our courts use, in which two lawyers each try to win for their client, sometimes regardless of what the underlying truth is? In many situations, this system does result in the truth being discovered. But is that going to happen here? Do federal district courts have the knowledge and the skills to decide who should be detained and who should be released? For that matter, do we want the question of whether somebody is a dangerous terrorist to be decided by who has the best lawyer?

June 08, 2008

Change He Won't Believe In

"Change We Can Believe In" is Barack Obama’s campaign slogan – and change what his campaign is all about. But there is one change Barack Obama does not seem to believe in – the change that is happening in Iraq.

Senator Obama has made a big deal of being against the war in Iraq since 2002. (It is too bad Senator Obama did not have the same foresight with respect to Tony Rezko.) The fact is, however, things have changed in Iraq since 2002. They have changed since January of 2006 when Senator Obama last visited Iraq. They have changed since January of 2007 when Senator Obama said that the surge, and the change in strategy that went with it, wouldn’t work. In fact, about the only thing that has not changed with respect to Iraq is Senator Obama’s position.

I don’t know if Senator Obama’s refusal to change is because he doesn’t believe things have changed in Iraq or because he doesn’t know enough to understand things have changed in Iraq or because he doesn’t care enough to figure out things have changed in Iraq. And even if I knew, I am not sure it would matter.

June 05, 2008

Obama On Increasing Capital Gains Taxes

Now that Barack Obama is, as they say, the "presumptive" Democratic nominee for President, it’s a good time to starting looking, or looking again, at some of his policies and proposals. First, let’s look at his view on capital gains taxes. Senator Obama wants to increase them.

To justify his support for an increase in capital gain taxes, Barack Obama cites Warren Obama as saying it is okay to do so. (The Wall Street Journal, April 5, 2008) I understand why Senator Obama might listen to Mr. Buffett. Mr. Buffett is a renowned investor. He has proven he knows how to invest and how to make money. He is better at it than almost anybody else. It would make sense to listen to him on investing. Tax policy, on the other hand, may be a different matter.

Mr. Buffet is famous, not only for his investments, but also for being a rich person (a very, very, very rich person) who thinks his taxes should be higher. Mr. Buffett is opposed to repealing the estate tax. Senator Obama quotes Mr. Buffett as saying that raising the capital gains tax from 15% to 20% or 25% will not distort economic decision making.

However, as I said, I am not sure Mr. Buffett is the right person to listen to on tax policy. At least part of the reason that Mr. Buffett is better at investing than just about anybody else is, in addition to being really smart, he thinks differently than most people.

It seems to me that what motivates Mr. Buffett, what affects his thinking and his decision-making, may be different than what affects the decisions of most Americans (especially Americans who aren’t worth billions of dollars). Maybe a death tax doesn’t bother Mr. Buffett (though if that is true, I wonder why he contributed so much of his money to Bill Gates’s foundation instead of waiting and having his estate pay tax on it). Similarly, maybe increasing the capital gains tax from 15% to 25% wouldn’t affect what Mr. Buffett does.

But such an increase will affect what most investors do – and that will affect the stock market and the economy with it. 25% versus 15% may not be a big deal to Mr. Buffett, but it is a big deal to a lot of people.

Instead of listening to a few rich people who think like he does, Senator Obama needs to listen to regular people trying to make a little money to retire on or to send their kids to college. He needs to hear what they think about an increase in capital gains taxes and what they are going to do if he does raise those taxes.

If he does, he will find that increasing the capital gains tax, while it might seem like an easy way to raise taxes on the rich, will hurt the economy – and a lot of ordinary people.

June 01, 2008

Reestablishing the Republican Party

In Friday’s "Political Diary," published at WSJ.com (subscription required), John Fund wrote about what he saw as the failure of class warfare politics by the Labour Party in recent elections in England. Before quoting further from Mr. Fund, let me note that the Labour Party in England has been having many of the same problems Republicans have had in the United States: they’ve been in power for a long time, and now they are losing elections. Mr. Fund writes:

"[I]t's axiomatic in European politics that most people favor redistributionist policies and that class warfare works as a vote-getting campaign theme. But now there's recent evidence -- at least in Britain -- that such appeals are also falling flat on the other side of the pond.

The first scent of change came in early May with the news that London, a Labour Party stronghold, had elected as its new mayor Boris Johnson, a Conservative journalist who was attacked by Labour for having a flighty personality and for attending Eton and Oxford, the ultimate schools for ‘toffs.’

[C]lass warfare took it on the chin again in a by-election in Crewe, another Labour stronghold. Labour Prime Minister Gordon Brown is said to have personally approved a class warfare attack on Edward Timpson, the Conservative candidate in Crewe.

Indeed, when Mr. Timpson showed up for a campaign swing in Crewe accompanied by Conservative leader David Cameron, the pair were ambushed by two Labour activists in top hats and tails calling themselves the ‘Tarporley toffs.’ More was to come. Leaflets featured a doctored picture making Mr. Timpson, a member of a wealthy shoe making family, appear to be wearing a ‘Lord Snooty’ top hat. …

But the campaign quickly went bust. Many voters told reporters they found the approach ‘pathetic.’ Labour Party leaders began distancing themselves from the class warfare strategy even before the election results were in, declaring it a ‘stunt’ that wasn't meant to be central to the campaign. …

When the results of the by-election came in last week, they were shocking. Conservatives gained 17 points from their 2005 showing in the seat, winning 50% of the vote over all other parties. Labour slipped back to a humiliating 32%.

Two elections do not quite make a trend. But even in Britain, where popular culture and politics have long marinated in class consciousness, the tactics of class warfare aren't working. America's Democrats may be in for a rude surprise this fall if they attempt a similar approach. …"

I think a comparison can be made between what seems to be happening in England and what is happening in the United States, but I think Mr. Hunt gets the comparison wrong. It seems to me that what the voters were finding "pathetic" in England was not the class warfare argument but the kind of desperate tactics the Labour Party was using. Instead of standing on principles, Labour seemed to be trying to win on scare tactics and political name-calling.

Which is just what the Republicans have been doing over here in races to fill vacancies in Congress. Instead of nominating good candidates and having a good Republican brand to promote, the Republicans have resorted to shrill attacks, calling their opponents liberals and trying to link them to Nancy Pelosi or Rev. Jeremiah Wright or whoever else is the enemy du jour in Republican attack ads.

But these attacks are not working. The voters know their local Democratic candidates, and these ads don’t fit what the voters know about them. Like in England, these attack ads are seen as "pathetic". And they are.

The problem is, of course, there isn’t much positive to say about the Republican Party in Congress. In 1994 Republicans took over Congress because they had a program of real ideas that appealed to voters. But after the Republicans got in, too many of them seemed to abandon the limited government principles that got them elected in the first place.

Instead of limited government, we got the K Street Project. Instead of restraining government spending, we got winning by earmarks. That may be a way to stay in office, but it is not a Republican way – and in the long run it doesn’t work for Republicans. One of my favorite senators, Senator Tom Coburn of Oklahoma, hit the nail on the head in an article in The Wall Street Journal last Tuesday. (See here.*)

Republicans are not going to win by holding up Nancy Pelosi masks and trying to claim their opponents are "San Francisco Democrats". Republicans can’t scare the voters into voting for them; they have to stand for something.

What they need to stand for are traditional Republican principles: limited government; low taxes; controlling government spending; strong national defense; federalism; and letting people make their own choices. Too many Republicans in Washington have not been doing that, and they have done a lot of damage to the Republican Party in the process.

It is going to take a while to reestablish voters’ trust in the Republican Party. It’s not going to be easy. It isn’t going to happen overnight. But it can be done. And it should be done. Because it is the right thing to do.

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* One complaint about Senator Coburn’s article: I wish he would not have mentioned Scriptures and Jesus in the way did. I have no problem with those being the bedrock of one’s political philosophy. I just wouldn’t say it this way. I’m not trying to hide anything. I just think saying it this way could be off-putting to some people, and I don’t think it is necessary.

May 31, 2008

Michelle Obama

In response to criticisms of his wife for some of the things she has said while campaigning for him, Barack Obama has told Republicans (and others) to "lay off my wife." In Tuesday’s Chicago Sun-Times, Jesse Jackson, perhaps not surprisingly, agrees. Jonah Goldberg, in Thursday’s Chicago Tribune, disagrees, saying that if Senator Obama does not want people criticizing his wife, he might want to not have her out campaigning for him.

It is an interesting question. Certainly, some of the things Michelle Obama has said irritate me. I did not like her comments about her husband’s candidacy being the only time she has been proud of America since, in effect, about 1980. But, after thinking about it, maybe it’s just an example of spousal pride.

Actually, the comments that have probably annoyed me the most were her complaints about how long it took her and her husband to pay off their student loans. In my opinion, if you get to go to Princeton and Harvard Law, you shouldn’t complain about having to pay off loans. She didn’t have to go to Princeton. She could have gone to the University of Illinois or some other state school. That’s what I did so I could save money for law school. And if you go to an expensive law school, maybe that means you have to take a job where you make enough money to pay off your loans. It’s a choice.

However, in spite of my feelings about some of the things she is saying (and in spite of the fact I just criticized her myself), I think Jesse Jackson is right. Not for the reasons he gives, but I think he is right. Republicans ought to lay off Michelle Obama.

There are plenty of things to criticize Barack Obama about. We don’t need to criticize his wife. It’s a distraction, and it will bother enough people, because of the "leave my family out of it" thing, that it is not worth it. Attacking Michelle Obama will just get her, and her husband, sympathy they don’t deserve. Republicans are better off ignoring Michelle Obama – for their own benefit.

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Update [June 1, 2008]: Jonah Goldberg's column was in Thursday's Chicago Tribune, not Saturday's. This has been corrected.

May 29, 2008

The Age of Experience

This week’s Economist talks about John McCain’s age (he will be 72 in January of 2009), and says it is a legitimate issue. It would probably be better if Senator McCain were 64, like he was in 2000. But we have to take the candidates the way they are. Just like we can’t wish John McCain were eight years younger, we can’t wish Barack Obama was eight years older and had enough experience to be President. The candidates are what they are, and we have to choose between ones we have.

May 28, 2008

Are Courts Still the "Least Dangerous" Branch?

In the 78th Federalist Paper, Alexander Hamilton wrote this about the judiciary under the new, proposed Constitution:

"Whoever attentively considers the different departments of power must perceive, that, in a government in which they are separated from each other, the judiciary, from the nature of its functions, will always be the least dangerous to the political rights of the Constitution; because it will be least in a capacity to annoy or injure them."

Which goes to show that our Founding Fathers, smart as they were, were not always right. And which brings me to the recent decision by the California Supreme Court that same-sex couples have the right to be "married" under the California constitution.

Among the interesting things about this decision is how far it went, and what risks it took, to, in some ways, accomplish so very little. California already had, through its law establishing domestic partnerships, provided same-sex couples with all the state law rights and privileges that married people had, except the name. But the court found this, perhaps particularly this, was unconstitutional discrimination against same-sex couples.

What risks did it take, you ask? Let me explain by way of an example. In the 1970s and early 1980s, different paths were taken on two issues. In 1973, the Supreme Court, in Roe v. Wade, announced that abortions during the first six months of a woman’s pregnancy could not be prohibited. A woman had a constitutional right to an abortion.

Later that decade and early into the next, there was a battle royal over a proposed Equal Rights Amendment to the United States Constitution. While most of the arguments about the ERA related to matters like women in the military, some people opposed the ERA for a different reason: We were afraid that if the ERA were passed, equal rights would become an issue to be decided by the courts, instead of by the legislature and executive and the people who elected them to office.*

Thirty-some years on, abortion is as controversial today as it was in 1973, if not more so. Equal rights for women, though, is an issue that, to a large extent, has come, been accepted and gone on its way. We don’t fight over equal rights any more. Maybe around the edges, here and there, arguments pop up now and then. But nothing like abortion.

Now some of this difference is probably because the issues are different. Abortion and equal rights are not the same. But some of the difference is, I believe, a result in how the issues have been handled.

With the decision in Roe v. Wade, the Supreme Court took the issue of abortion away from the legislatures and the people. Abortion became an issue of black and white. You were on one side or the other. There was no chance for a compromise here and an adjustment there. There was no opportunity to talk about the issue in the cneter.  There was no opportunity to come up with a policy that could be acceptable to a majority in the center.

On the other hand, once the Equal Rights Amendment failed, equal rights for women was left to the legislature and the executive. Instead of everything being black and white, there were "shades of gray" discussions. There were compromises, and as feelings changed, the compromises changed, too. And over the years, while we may not have come all the way, equal rights have pretty much been accomplished, and for the majority of Americans the debate is over.

Sadly, that is not what happened with abortion. And now, with decisions like the one by the California Supreme Court, I fear the issue of same-sex marriage may go the way of abortion instead of the way of equal rights.

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* In 1977 I wrote an article on the Equal Rights Amendment that was published in Human Events. It was actually a fairly decent article, and the arguments I made against the ERA are, I think, still valid today on the issue of the proper roles of the judiciary on the one hand and the political branches of government, the legislature and the executive, on the other hand. It follows this post. 

The Equal Rights Amendment: A Legal Thicket"

(Note: This is an article I wrote about the proposed Equal Rights Amendment in 1977. It was published in the September 3, 1977 issue of Human Events. I would have just linked to the article, but the Human Events website does not seem to go back that far.)

The current debate over the Equal Rights Amendment is a failure because it is not considering the entire issue. Both proponents and opponents of the ERA argue only about whether "equal rights" is desirable. However, there is another question involved in the ERA. Even assuming "equal rights is a desired goal, is a constitutional amendment the way to accomplish it?

The failure to discuss this question is unfortunate because as Equal Rights Amendment involves both ends and means, and the problem in enforcing an Equal Rights Amendment are so great that they require the defeat of the ERA regardless of how one feels about the question of equal rights itself.

While Section Two of the ERA provides that "Congress shall have the power to enforce by appropriate legislation the provisions of this article," it is most unlikely that Congress with do anything in terms of enforcement. Therefore, if the ERA is ratified, the enforcement burden will fall on the courts.

As soon as the ERA is ratified, there will be innumerable lawsuits challenging all sorts of laws and practices as violating the new amendment. It is, therefore, very important to determine whether the courts are the appropriate instrument to decide what "equal rights’ means in everyday life.

In considering this question, it is important to realize that even the supporters of equal rights differ over what equal rights will mean in specific situations.

For example, in regard to public school athletics, does equal rights mean that boys and girls must be allowed (or required) to compete together, with only one coeducational team in each sport? Or is it permissible to have a boy’s team and a girl’s team as long as they are equally supported?

And what does equal support mean? In terms of finances, does it mean exactly the same amount of money must be spent for each sex, or can funds be divided up on a per-participant basis? And what about money received from gage admissions? Can it be used solely for the team that generates it, or must it too be allocated sexually?

In other words, the meaning of equal rights is not clear, even to its proponents. To reply to this by saying that the courts would have to enforce either an Equal Rights Amendment or an equal rights statute avoids the crucial question of what the courts are enforcing.

It is one thing to enforce a specific prohibition, such as a law requiring equal pay for equal work, and quite another to interpret and apply a broad rule that merely says "equality of rights under law shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or any state on account of sex."

There are two major reasons the courts should not be asked to interpret and apply an Equal Rights Amendment. First, the judiciary is institutionally ill-equipped to perform such a task. Second, because of the judiciary’s institutional inadequacies, an attempt by the courts to interpret and apply the ERA will result in both severe criticism of the courts (regardless of who "wins" the individual cases) and decreased respect for the fairness of the judicial process.

Let me first consider the institutional or structural obstacles that would hinder the courts in the interpretation and application of an Equal Rights Amendment:

A. Lawsuits are a very poor vehicle for answering the type of question here, i.e., what "equal rights" mans in specific situations. A court is limited to making decisions based on the facts presented to it by the litigants. Such a limitation on information can greatly affect the final decision, and if the court tires to get around this limitation by seeking out information on its own, its decisions may be based on information not tested in the crucible of adversarial inquiry.

B. Judicial decisions are basically limited to yes-or-no answers. Courts are hard-pressed to answer questioning shades of gray. A court cannot search for a compromise between competing interests, giving a little from here and taking a little from there. A court can deal with only the specific issue before it, and this forces it into a straightjacket of decisional inflexibility.

(It might be argued that the court operates under similar limitations in interpreting, for example, the 1st Amendment guarantee of freedom of the press. The comparison is not entirely apt, however. In freedom of the press cases, a court only has to determine if a specific law or regulation violates the 1st Amendment. I would have much less difficulty with the ERA if the courts would only be asked to uphold or invalidate specific laws and regulations.)

(However, much of the litigation under the ERA will be seeking affirmative, remedial relief, in addition to the voiding of specific laws and regulations. This kind of affirmative, remedial relief is not involved in freedom of the press case, and it is the seeking of such relief which causes the major problems with judicial enforcement of an Equal Rights Amendment.)

C. Not only are courts generally limited to a yes-or-no result, but also their decisions are limited by the necessity that they be able to enforce the. This means that the courts need to have jurisdiction over a person or agency in order to issue an effective order and that a decision must be such that it is easy to tell if it is being obeyed or not.

A court cannot order something be done it is has no way of ensuring that its order will be carried out. This results in decisions that are rigid and simplistic, such as the kind of meat-axe decisions common in school desegregation cases. The legislature, however, by setting up numerous standards and by considering the whole problem at once, can draw fine lines and make counterbalancing trade-offs, things which a court cannot do.

D. Also, the courts are somewhat isolated from society as a whole. Normally this is desirable because justice should be set apart from the ebbs and flows of everyday political life. But in regard to unsettled questions of first priority, such as the meaning of an Equal Rights Amendment, it is important that the people be involved in the decision-making process. In such cases, judicial isolation can lead to solutions which look good in legal briefs but just do not work in real life.

Even more important then the courts’ institutional inability to interpret and apply an Equal Rights Amendment, however, is the second objection noted above. The courts should not be forced to interpret the ERA because of the damage such a task would do to the courts themselves.

I worry about the effect of the ERA on the courts because of all the braches of government, the judiciary is perhaps the most fragile. In our system it is not fatal if the people become disenchanted with the legislature or executive. They can be replaced at the next election. And in any case, it is expected that they will "play politics" with the issues. This is not, however, true of the courts.

Judges are not easily replaced. Judicial decisions cannot usually be changed at the next election. And, most importantly, people expect a higher level of integrity and fairness from the courts than from the legislature and executive. In sum, if we ask the courts to answer tough, "political"-type questions which should be answered by the legislature and executive, we are playing with fire.

It is important to realize that the meaning of equal rights is a "political" question. It is such because the answer to it will have broad social effects. They will affect jobs and earning abilities, families, and the structure of society in general. When a question has such broad implications, the people should not be limited to just approving or disapproving a broad generality. They should be able to participate, either directly or through their elected representatives, in solving the specific issues involved.

In fact, some supporters of the ERA will argue that one of the reasons they want a constitutional amendments that the legislatures will not pass the necessary to ensure equal rights, apparently because of their members’ political fears. If this is true, it is another reason to oppose the ERA. The courts should not be forced to do what legislators do not have the political courage to do.

The controversy over school busing is a good example of what can happen when the courts try to answer a difficult, essentially political question.

Because of institutional limitations, the courts have been unable to utilize the vast range of enforcement mechanisms that are available to the other braches of government, the use of which would have made busing unnecessary.

Also, the courts have been unable to bring all of the interested parties together and to solve the problem by compromising a number of related issues all at once. Instead, the judicial process has produced a winner and a loser, and the courts have been viciously, even violently, attacked. The result has been greatly decreased respect for the courts land for the judicial process.

Equal rights is an important and emotional issue. It should be solved either by or under the supervision of the political branches of government, the legislature and executive. If the courts are required to interpret and apply an Equal Rights Amendment, the judiciary will become the target of those who are unhappy with what equal rights means in their lives. The result will be reduced respect for the fairness of the courts and for the fairness of our system as a whole.

That is why I am against the ratification of the Equal Rights Amendment.

May 27, 2008

Maybe It’s Too Bad China Doesn’t Have More Wal-Marts

The Chicago Tribune reported Saturday that “China’s central government [had] ordered its wealthier provinces and cities to give immediate financial and technical aid to communities devastated by last week's earthquake.”  The article continued:

 

“[M]any victims appear to be waiting, and relying, on the central government to take care of their needs.

 

In interviews inside refugee camps, hospitals and tents outside their damaged homes, local residents said they were counting on authorities to provide them new housing, cover their medical bills, offer loans to rebuild businesses and help them get new jobs.

 

"We hold big hopes that the government will solve our problems," said Wang Yanjiang, 74, who has been living in a tent in Mianzhu Stadium since his family's apartment in nearby Hanwang collapsed. …

 

‘On the one hand, the central government's swift reaction and rescue efforts won more support from the public and improved the government's reputation among ordinary people,’ said Hu Xingdou, professor of economics at Beijing Institute of Technology. ‘On the other hand, this showed that China is still a largely government-driven and controlled society.’”

 

Hopefully, the Chinese government’s response will be better than the response of FEMA to Hurricane Katrina or, for that matter, the responses of the state and local governments in Louisiana.  While FEMA’s incompetence got most of the publicity, the actions, or lack thereof, of state and local governments in Louisiana weren’t any better.

 

In fact, some of the quickest and most effective responses to Katrina came from a source that is not available to the Chinese: American private business.  Companies like Wal-Mart, Home Depot and others saw what was coming and started to get ready before Katrina even hit.  Then when Katrina did hit, they were ready to do what American business does best:  meet needs quickly.  But this time they were not doing it to make money; they were doing it to help people.*

 

It looks like a lot of the Chinese people are counting on the government to help them.  Actually, it’s too bad they don’t have more Wal-Marts and Home Depots; they would probably be less disappointed.

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* See “Private FEMA,” The Wall Street Journal, September 8, 2005

Update [5/27/08 - 9:15 a.m.]: Corrected typographical error and adjusted spacing and font.

May 26, 2008

A Memorial Day Thank You

On this Memorial Day let me do something I never did when I had the chance to do it in person: Let me thank my father for serving in the U.S. Army to protect our country during World War II, and let me thank my mother for living without him while he did it.

May 25, 2008

Myanmar Again

Another comment about Myanmar (f/k/a Burma). When the cyclone hit and the ruling dictatorship refused outside help, some people and even some governments started talking about using force to deliver aid to the Myanmar people – even if it had to be done against the will of the Myanmar government. Mind boggling.

It took months to plan the invasion of Iraq (which I think most people would agree did not turn out all that well, at least in part because of poor planning). So now people really think we can invade Myanmar on a week’s notice to deliver aid? Such comments are just silly.

So what can we do? At first I thought The Wall Street Journal (May 10, 2008) had a good idea when it suggested Myanmar be kicked out of the United Nations. We can’t force the leaders of Myanmar to take aid, but that doesn’t mean we have to let such people belong to the UN. But then I started thinking about who a majority of the United Nations might try to kick out next. After all, back in the 1970s, the UN General Assembly declared Zionism to be "a form of racism".

It is sad to have to say, but the United Nations is, in many ways, not a responsible organization. It is sad because if it was responsible, it could be used for all kinds of good purposes. But it isn’t, and we can’t pretend that it is.

And so, what are we left with. Unfortunately, not much. All we can do is publicize the situation, declare the leaders of Myanmar to be morally unfit, and be ready to give aid if and when we can be sure the aid will actually get to those who need it.

"Disaster Fatigue" Or Just Plain Smart?

This article in yesterday’s Washington Post talked about the small amounts of money that have contributed by Americans for relief efforts for the cyclone in Myanmar (f/k/a Burma). The article compares these amounts with the massive outpouring of contributions after the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami or Hurricane Katrina. As to the reasons for the small amount on contributions:

"Experts attributed the downturn in giving to a medley of forces, including a domestic economy that has left many Americans with little disposable income, a distrust of disaster relief charities and geopolitical tensions."

I sometimes wonder what rock some of these experts are living under. It’s not a bad economy. Americans will contribute in bad times; it’s who we are. It’s not a distrust of disaster relief agencies; we’ll find somebody to give to. It’s not even, as suggested earlier in the article, that "the American people are going through ‘disaster fatigue’".

It’s actually very simple. People are not giving to relief efforts in Myanmar because they do not trust the Myanmar government to either let the money in or let it be used to actually help the people who need help.

There are lots of problems around the world. There is no sense giving money if it is going to be wasted (at best) or diverted to those who don’t need it (more likely).

May 08, 2008

Break

We are going to see our son graduate from the Creighton University this weekend. After that, some other things are coming up, so it will probably be a couple of weeks before I can get back to posting. Until then: Let's go Cubs!

May 06, 2008

Barack Obama and Bill Ayers

Barack Obama and Weather Underground member William G. Ayers. Is there anything there? Does it matter? Senator Obama says it doesn’t. In his debate with Hillary Clinton on April 16, Senator Obama said this about the Bill Ayers connection:

"This is a guy who lives in my neighborhood, who's a professor of English in Chicago, who I know and who I have not received some official endorsement from. He's not somebody who I exchange ideas from on a regular basis.

And the notion that somehow as a consequence of me knowing somebody who engaged in detestable acts 40 years ago when I was 8 years old, somehow reflects on me and my values, doesn't make much sense, George [i.e., George Stephanopolous]."

Here is what Senator Obama said about Ayers on FOX News Sunday on April 27:

"Now, Mr. Ayres [sic] is a 60 plus year old individual who lives in my neighborhood, who did something that I deplore 40 years ago when I was six or seven years old. By the time I met him, he was a professor of education at the University of Illinois.

We served on a board together that had Republicans, bankers, lawyers, focused on education, who worked for Mayor Daley. Mayor Daley, the same Mayor Daley probably who when he was a state attorney prosecuted Mr. Ayres’s wife for those activities, I (INAUDIBLE) the point is that to somehow suggest that in any way I endorse his deplorable acts 40 years ago, because I serve on a board with him."

A few thoughts. First, how does a private citizen "officially endorse" you? I’m not sure. That sounds like something you say when you can’t think of anything good to say.

Senator Obama says he shouldn’t be associated with what Bill Ayers was doing 40 years ago because he was only eight years old at the time and he doesn’t endorse "the detestable acts" that Ayers did back then. I wasn’t eight years old in the late 60s and early 1970s. I was in my early 20’s, and I remember what the Weather Underground was doing. They were setting bombs. They were blowing up buildings. They were trying to kill people.

Bill Ayers tries to downplay this last part, about trying to kill people, saying that the only people the Weather Underground ever killed were some of their own members. (Three Weather Underground members were killed in an explosion in a Greenwich Village townhouse while they were trying to build bombs – to kill people). It’s nice story, but John Murtaugh doesn’t appreciate it. You see, in 1970, John Murtaugh was nine years old when the Weather Underground set off three bombs outside his house. The Weather Underground was trying to kill his father, a New York judge who was presiding over a trial of Black Panther Party members accused of plotting to bomb sites in New York.

I do not know if Bill Ayers was in the Weather Underground cell that set off those bombs, but he was in the Weather Underground at that time. In an interview published in The New York Times on September 11, 2001 (bad timing from Ayers’s viewpoint), Ayers was quoted as saying: "I don’t regret setting bombs. I feel we didn’t do enough." When asked if he would do it again, Mr. Ayers said, "I don’t want to discount the possibility."

Some people have commented on the fact that Ayers and Senator Obama both served on the board of the Woods Fund for a period back in the 1990s. I’m not going to complain about that. The Woods Fund might have been the kind of a group that Senator Obama felt he wanted to help even though there were other people on the board that he did not care for. I have been in groups where I didn’t particularly like a few people in the group, but I stayed because it was a good group.

On the other hand, when it comes to the Chicago Annenberg Challenge, the story is a little different. The Chicago Annenberg Challenge was part of an attempt to reform the Chicago public schools. Here the Ayers-Obama connection is a little closer. Ayers co-wrote the initial grant proposal for the Challenge and, on his own website, lists himself as a co-founder of the group. Barack Obama was the Chair of the Chicago Annenberg Challenge Fund in its early years.

In 1995, when Obama was starting his first campaign for the Illinois State Senate, his predecessor introduced Obama as her preferred successor in a meeting in Hyde Park – in Bill Ayers’ house. (See here.) To me, that is a problem. Obama shouldn’t have been using somebody’s house to start his political campaign unless he knew something about them and felt comfortable with them. Even if Obama didn’t know them, somebody did. Clearly, Bill Ayers’s house was considered an acceptable place to start a state Senate campaign. The political activists, the liberal Democrats, in Barack Obama’s neighborhood apparently felt at home in Bill Ayers’s house.

Some commentators have claimed that the criticisms of Senator Obama becaue of his connections with Bill Ayers are "McCarthyism." I am sure they would say that about my comments. Well, I don’t think they are. Let me explain.

Barack Obama has a more limited public record than John McCain. He even has a more limited public record than Hillary Clinton. That makes it harder to judge him. With John McCain, we don’t need to look at his associates to know who John McCain is or what he is all about. John McCain was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1982 and to the United States Senate in 1986. That’s over 25 years in Congress. There is a huge public record to tell us about John McCain. Senator Clinton has only been in the United States Senate since 2000, but that is twice as long as Senator Obama. Also, half the time Senator Obama has been in the Senate, he has been running for President, so he doesn’t really have a Senate record of much more than two years.

Therefore, in Senator Obama’s case, we need to learn about him in ways other than his public record; we need to check other sources. One of those ways to do this is by seeing who he associates with, by seeing what kind of community he comes from and feels comfortable in. Well, Bill Ayers is part of Barack Obama’s community. Barack Obama’s political career started at Bill Ayers’ house. It’s pretty clear the people in Barack Obama’s community feel that Bill Ayers fits into their community. Bill Ayers, with his unrepentant, bomb-setting, Weather Underground background, apparently fits in with the liberal Democrats in Chicago. That tells me something about the liberal Democrats in Chicago, and that tells me something about Barack Obama.

One of William F. Buckley, Jr.'s last published articles described his role in getting the John Birchers kicked out of the conservative movement. Buckley knew that who you associate with politically says something about who you are politically, and he didn’t want conservativism to be associated with those kinds of people.

I think the same test can be applied to Barack Obama. If liberal Democrats in Chicago think Bill Ayers, with his past and what he apparently still thinks today, fits into their community and what they are trying to do, then I think that says something about liberal Democrats from Chicago. And that is why I do not want Barack Obama, a liberal Democrat from Chicago, to be President.

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* Bill Ayers has written that between 1970 and 1974 the Weather Underground took responsibility for twelve bombings. (See here.)

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