As I said a couple of weeks ago, I do think we will reach an agreement with Iran on its nuclear capabilities. The question is, as I also said, how good of an agreement will it be? Let me suggest a test. Unfortunately, it is an after-the-fact test, but it will still give us a pretty good idea of how good the agreement is.
Here’s the test: The agreement with Iran was originally supposed to keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons. If, after an agreement is signed, other countries in the area start developing nuclear weapons or otherwise start doing what Iran is doing now (not including Israel, of course; they already have nuclear weapons), then the agreement will not have succeeded in what it was supposed to do.
Because the only reason other countries in the area would start to develop nuclear weapons capability is if they think that either Iran has nuclear weapons capability or it can develop nuclear weapons within a really short period of time, and that, therefore, they need to get going on their own nuclear program now if they want to be able to counter Iran’s.
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